Baseball Scribes Deny Attributing Milwaukee Brewers' Victory to Statistical Analysis
In the bustling world of Major League Baseball, one team has stood out as a beacon of surprise and success - the Milwaukee Brewers. With a record of 79-48 and a staggering +162 run differential, the Brew Crew currently boasts the best run differential in baseball, and a six-game lead in the NL Central.
Seven of their 11 hitters who've qualified have exceeded their expected statistics based on quality of contact, a testament to their ability to deliver when it matters most. This overachievement isn't solely down to taking the extra base or playing baseball "the right way." Instead, it's a combination of finding value in unheralded players, a top-tier farm system, and a dash of good luck.
The Brewers have been scooping up unexpected talent, players discarded by other teams, because they saw potential that others overlooked. This unique scouting approach and talent evaluation, focusing on undervalued skills and attributes not immediately recognised by others, has been instrumental in their success.
Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic has written a column about the Brewers' success, suggesting that their approach is reminiscent of an "old school" methodology. One such example is the trade of Devin Williams, one of baseball's best and most consistent closers, to New York. In return, the Brewers received Nestor Cortes and Caleb Durbin. While Williams has struggled in the Big Apple with a 5.21 ERA, Cortes has been worth 1.6 WAR for the Brewers and won't hit free agency until 2032.
Trevor Megill, Williams' replacement, has been a revelation with a 2.09 ERA and 29 saves for the Brewers. The team's pitching, defense, and baserunning have been elite, contributing significantly to their success.
However, it's important to note that the Brewers have accomplished much of this success without the highly-touted Jackson Chourio in their lineup. Jacob Misiorowski, a pitcher for the Brewers, has faced command issues, with his ERA ballooning to 4.19.
Despite their current dominance, baseball seasons are long, and the gaps between teams are small. Narratives die quickly. But one thing is certain - the Milwaukee Brewers have crafted one of the most surprising stories of the 2025 season.
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