Betting strategies for MLB player prop picks and odds on August 30, including top picks like Jack Flaherty as prime options
In the final week of the 2025 MLB regular season, the Inside the Lines team has identified a favorable prop for Saturday's games: Jack Flaherty Over 4.5 strikeouts.
The Projection Model, developed and powered by the Inside the Lines team, simulated every MLB game 10,000 times and entered Week 21 at a profitable 31-23 on top-rated MLB money line picks.
Jack Flaherty's Over 4.5 strikeouts prop is available at -122 on FanDuel. This comes after a mixed performance in his last outing against Kansas City, where he allowed eight earned runs in five innings with only three strikeouts. However, before this bad outing, Flaherty pitched seven scoreless innings with nine strikeouts against Houston.
On average, Flaherty averages 5.6 strikeouts on the road and boasts a solid 7-4 Over 4.5 record. The Projection Model, which includes the projection for HRs and SBs, and the money line the Model would set for YES HR/SB, does not find betting value on Over 6.5 for Sale, who is expected to return to Atlanta's rotation on Saturday.
In other games, the Projection Model includes the Mariners at Guardians, Tigers at Royals, Brewers at Blue Jays, and Braves at Phillies.
For those new to sports betting, several promotions are available. FanDuel offers $300 in bonus bets, Caesars Sportsbook provides 20 100% profit boost tokens after a first bet of at least $1, and bet365 offers $200 in bonus bets to new users.
As the NFL season approaches, the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code is offering 20+ $100 No Sweat Bets in FanCash for every NFL or college football game day through Oct. 12. Meanwhile, DraftKings is offering $300 in bonus bets after a first bet of $5 or more, and over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket through YouTube TV.
The Projection Model provides a cheat sheet for today's projected leading home run, stolen base, and strikeout leaders. Remember, the Model takes the strongest projected values vs. the best available prices at the time content is published.
As always, responsible gambling is important. Bet wisely, and enjoy the games!
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