Crypto Becomes Alluring Contender as Ray Dalio Discusses Attractive Features for Alternative Currency
In a significant shift in perspective, Ray Dalio, the former CEO of Bridgewater Associates, has expressed a more positive outlook on cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, viewing them as potential alternatives to traditional fiat currencies in certain economic conditions.
Dalio's change of heart was prompted by his belief that the long-term "big debt cycle" is nearing its end. He warns of a vicious cycle where central banks may resort to printing more money (quantitative easing) to service existing debt, which could lead to increased interest rates and a wave of defaults among companies and individuals struggling to service their debt.
Initially skeptical of Bitcoin, Dalio purchased the cryptocurrency in May 2021. His views on Bitcoin have since evolved, and he now advocates for a significant portfolio allocation to it, alongside gold. Dalio argues that a 15% allocation to either Bitcoin or gold could help achieve the best return-to-risk ratio.
Dalio's recent stance on Bitcoin and gold has generated media attention, with headlines reporting his surprising support for a high portfolio allocation to these assets. Despite favoring gold over Bitcoin, Dalio has shown equal support for a 15% portfolio allocation to either cryptocurrency.
Dalio predicts that fiat currencies may struggle to be an efficient "storehold of wealth" relative to hard assets like gold and Bitcoin, especially if the supply of the US dollar rises or demand for the greenback decreases. In such scenarios, crypto, as an alternative cryptocurrency with limited supply, could become more attractive.
Central banks, according to Dalio, will face tough choices as interest rates may rise due to market forces. If intervention from central banks stops, these increases could lead to economic instability, making assets like Bitcoin and gold even more valuable.
It's important to note that Dalio's views do not extend to other cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum, Shiba Inu (SHIB), XRP, or Dogecoin, as no prior context was provided for headlines related to these digital assets.
Dalio currently maintains minor exposure to Bitcoin, indicating a cautious approach rather than a full-fledged investment strategy. However, his views suggest that crypto could become a more viable alternative to fiat currencies in the face of economic instability.
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