Crypto Market Surge: Is Selling Bitcoin Now Strategic or Should We Hang On?

The Bitcoin market is currently in a consolidation phase, a stage many analysts believe is essential for the cryptocurrency's evolution. This period is characterised by moderate corrections and a technical pause, as the price hovers around the $117,550 mark.

The absence of panic in the market suggests a healthy consolidation process, with the Fear and Greed Index indicating a neutral point. This consolidation phase is not unusual in the crypto market, particularly after halving events, with August traditionally being a month of momentum, followed by moderate corrections in September.

The structural scarcity of Bitcoin's supply reinforces the hypothesis of a consolidation phase before new highs. This uptick in inflation, as evidenced by the latest report on the Producer Price Index (PPI) in the US, which shows an annual inflation rate of 3.3%, could complicate expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. A higher PPI suggests that inflationary pressures persist, which could lead the Fed to maintain or tighten its monetary policy.

Despite these short-term challenges, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive. Growing adoption, clearer regulation, and integration of Bitcoin into institutional portfolios support a bullish outlook for the medium and long term. Institutional capital inflows to Bitcoin ETFs have remained constant in the last week.

However, it's important to note that cryptoasset investment is not fully regulated, may not be suitable for retail investors due to its high volatility, and there is a risk of losing all invested amounts. Caution is advised in the current scenario, and a strategy of observing and analyzing the macro context is recommended.

Analysts and major institutions expect some short-term pressure on Bitcoin in the coming weeks due to continuing selling by large holders and decreased ETF inflows. However, many anticipate strong price gains especially in Q4 2025, possibly reaching new all-time highs, as large investors maintain confidence and prepare for a seasonal rally.

In conclusion, the current Bitcoin consolidation is not seen as a sign of weakness but a necessary stage in its evolution. While the short term may present some challenges, the long-term outlook remains optimistic, with many anticipating strong price gains in the future.