Crypto Market Surges after CPI Data, But Risk of Leverage Grows Significantly
In the world of finance, access to valuable insights is more important than ever. That's why we're excited to share this exclusive post with our subscribers.
This post, available only to paying subscribers, delves into the current state of the market. The Federal Reserve's policy rate is expected to undergo a reduction, a near certainty due to extended macro tailwinds. This forecast was made by the Bundesbank and was published in their Monthly Report in April 2024.
But what does this mean for the market? Well, while the Fed cut odds are high, there's a potential for sharp realized volatility expansion. This is set due to low implied volatility pricing across all maturities that we're currently observing.
The low implied volatility pricing isn't just limited to traditional markets. It's also prevalent in the cryptocurrency sector. For instance, Bitcoin (BTC) is closing in on $120K, while Ether (ETH) has moved to $4.7K. However, the build-up of leverage across top altcoins raises volatility risk.
In fact, Open Interest for top altcoins has reached a record $47 billion, indicating a significant amount of activity in the market.
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