Dire economic employment figures in the United States poised to disrupt financial markets: Key factors for investors to focus on during the upcoming week
Fed Rate-Cut Expectations Fuel Market Volatility
In a recent development, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's dovish comments have fanned expectations of a potential interest rate cut, causing a ripple effect in global markets.
The US jobs market showed signs of slowing down late last week, triggering a flight to safer assets like government bonds and gold. This slowdown in hiring has raised concerns that the Fed could be behind the curve, facing a weaker jobs market while inflation remains stubborn.
As a result, two-year yields in the US hit their lowest point since 2022, and investor confidence was rattled. Bonds are expected to remain suppressed as markets anticipate Fed action.
Investors are pricing in nearly three Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. Francesco Sandrini, head of multi-asset strategies at Amundi, expects signs of weakening jobs to pave the way for a Fed rate cut in September. Ken Crompton, head of rates strategy at National Australia Bank, suggests that unless payrolls are stellar, it's hard to see much changing market expectations for a September Fed rate cut.
The potential rate cut has caused rate-sensitive sectors in stocks to potentially rise, but volatility could spike, especially at the start of the week. Asian and European indices are likely to react sharply to US labor trends early this week.
Meanwhile, the global equity rally saw Asian and European markets advance on Friday, despite US stocks falling sharply. The Fed is expected to act swiftly to prop up the economy due to fears of a weaker jobs market while inflation remains stubborn.
Elsewhere, Saudi Arabia arrested over 20,000 illegal residents in a week-long crackdown. UAE authorities urge Muslims to perform the Eclipse Prayer on September 7.
In other business news, Justin Varghese is associated with Dubai Investments. A dermatologist has recommended throwing a specific bedroom item away due to health reasons, but the exact item was not specified.
Stay tuned for more updates as these developments continue to unfold.
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