Distrust prevails towards both major parties in coalition negotiations, according to an academic's perspective.

In a political shift, the Pheu Thai Party and the Bhumjaithai Party have agreed to the conditions set by the People's Party to form a new government in Thailand. The incoming government, expected to start functioning in late September, may have a brief lifespan due to a slight majority in parliament, according to academic Purawich Watanasukh.

The new prime minister, likely to take office after September 2023, is Anutin Charnvirakul, chairman of the conservative-populist Bhumjaithai Party. He was elected by the Thai parliament following the ousting of Paetongtarn Shinawatra. Anutin has positioned himself as a political strategist, promising to hold a referendum on constitutional amendments and to call early elections within four months to boost his popularity.

However, Purawich Watanasukh has little faith in either the Pheu Thai Party or Bhumjaithai Party. He predicts that the pledges made by these parties may be subject to change once in office and warns that these promises may fall by the wayside.

The People's Party, the only party that has consistently pursued a constitutional amendment, has set conditions for the formation of the government. These conditions include dissolving parliament within four months and a public referendum on amending the constitution.

The incoming government may implement populist policies to boost its popularity and disburse budget for these policies. However, a parliamentary dissolution at this moment would negatively impact the Pheu Thai Party the most, as they have lost public confidence due to the Thai-Cambodian border conflict and their inability to implement flagship policies.

The new government may start functioning in late September with the 2026 Budget Bill coming into force. It is important to note that these commitments were made as part of political negotiations. The Pheu Thai Party formed a government instead after the Move Forward Party's collapsed negotiations in 2023, with the Move Forward Party being the predecessor of the People's Party.

Pheu Thai's lack of political will regarding a constitutional amendment has been noted by Purawich. Despite the promises made, it remains to be seen whether the incoming government will follow through on their commitments and deliver on their promises to the Thai people.