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Favorite Predictions from College Football Betting Odds for Saturday, August 23rd

Smart money investments for the upcoming matchups: Iowa State vs Kansas State, and Stanford vs Hawaii - analyzed by Josh Appelbaum.

Predicted Football Gambling Choices Based on Splits for August 23rd in College Football
Predicted Football Gambling Choices Based on Splits for August 23rd in College Football

Favorite Predictions from College Football Betting Odds for Saturday, August 23rd

As the college football season approaches, oddsmakers have set win totals and lines for several teams, and betting trends are starting to emerge.

Stanford and Hawaii Prepare for Season Openers

Stanford's win total for the 2022 season has been set at 3.5, with the under heavily juiced to -190, indicating that oddsmakers predict a challenging season for the Cardinals. Meanwhile, Hawaii is receiving 59% of spread bets and 81% of spread dollars at DraftKings for their season opener, despite finishing the 2021 season with a record of 5-7.

The total for the Stanford-Hawaii game has been adjusted from 55.5 to 50.5, and the forecast calls for 15 MPH winds. Despite receiving more than two-thirds of spread bets, Hawaii has fallen from -3.5 to -3, possibly due to a shift in market perception or other factors. For those looking to follow the sharp Hawaii move but also mitigate some risk, the Rainbow Warriors could be worth a look on the moneyline at -130.

Kansas State and Iowa State Square Off in Dublin

Kansas State opened as a 3.5-point neutral site favorite for the season opener against Iowa State in Dublin, Ireland. Kansas State finished the 2020 season with a record of 9-4 and remained unranked, while Iowa State finished with a record of 11-3 and a ranking of 15th.

However, for the season opener, Stanford opened as a 2.5-point road favorite but has since been moved to a 2.5-point home underdog due to an overload of respected action on Hawaii. At Circa, Hawaii is receiving 82% of spread bets and 98% of spread dollars, showing a strong "low bets, higher dollars" bet discrepancy in favor of the home chalk.

Odds and Betting Trends for Win Totals

Oddsmakers have set Kansas State's win total for the 2021 season at 8.5, with the over slightly juiced up to -115. On the other hand, Oddsmakers have set Iowa State's win total for the 2021 season at 7.5, with the under juiced to -135 at DraftKings. Oddsmakers have also set Hawaii's win total for the 2022 season at 6.5, with the under heavily juiced to -190.

Betting Trends and Sharp Moves

In the most heavily bet game of the day, Iowa State is receiving less than one-third of tickets. Despite this, both DraftKings and Circa are showing a sharp "low bets, higher dollars" bet split in favor of a higher scoring game, as the total for the game has ticked up from 49 to 51.5.

At Circa, the under is taking in 64% of bets and 93% of dollars, indicating a sharp move towards a lower scoring game. However, at DraftKings, the under is receiving 32% of bets and 54% of dollars for the game. The bookmakers changed the line to Hawaii -2.5 despite fewer bets on Hawaii to balance potential payouts and manage their risk, reflecting factors beyond just betting volume such as team performance, injuries, or market perception.

As the college football season kicks off, these betting trends and odds provide insight into the expectations and predictions for each team. Keep an eye on these trends as the season progresses for a better understanding of the market's sentiment towards each team.

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