Iowa Caucus Prediction Suggests Mayor Pete Emerges Victorious from ASI Survey

In the run-up to the Iowa caucuses, the Advertising Specialty Institute (ASI) conducted a unique poll, focusing on bumper sticker preferences among Democratic presidential candidates. The poll, which was based on a sampling of Iowans, aimed to gauge the level of support for each candidate in a distinctive manner, as bumper stickers are an iconic election promotional product.

According to the results, Democratic presidential candidate Pete Buttigieg received the most votes in the poll, with 26.1%. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders followed closely behind with 20.9%, while Former Vice President Joe Biden received the third-most votes, with 16.2%.

Buttigieg led the poll among both male and female Iowans, indicating a broad base of support. Interestingly, among women, ages 45 to 54, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren led, but her advantage was narrow. A surprising finding was that women over 65 preferred Mayor Pete, while men over 65 preferred Amy Klobuchar.

Nathaniel Kucsma, ASI's executive director of research and corporate marketing, commented on the significance of bumper stickers, stating, "No one would put a bumper sticker on their car unless they had strong, in-your-face feelings for a presidential candidate." This sentiment suggests that bumper stickers, yard signs, and related swag remain an important part of political campaigning.

The Democratic state party calculates how many "state delegate equivalents" each candidate has won at each caucus location and adds them up. The candidate with the most "state delegate equivalents" wins the most delegates to the Democratic National Convention, and the Iowa caucuses are crucial in this process.

The poll suggests that Pete Buttigieg will win the Iowa caucuses, according to the results. However, it's important to note that the Democratic caucuses involve small groups of Iowans gathering to declare their support for candidates publicly. As such, the caucuses can sometimes produce unexpected results.

In conclusion, the ASI's Iowa bumper sticker survey provides an interesting insight into the level of support for each Democratic presidential candidate in the state. While the poll results are not definitive, they do suggest a strong showing for Pete Buttigieg in the upcoming Iowa caucuses.