Low levels of Red-Red-Green colors below 40% indicated by INSA
The German political landscape is taking shape as we approach the federal election, with the latest trend poll conducted by INSA providing valuable insights. The poll, carried out between October 23-26, surveyed a total of 2,069 citizens.
The grand coalition of the Union (CDU/CSU) and the Social Democratic Party (SPD) continues to hold a combined polling percentage of 50%, maintaining their position as the frontrunners. The SPD, in particular, has remained steady at 14.5%, while the Union, along with its sister party the AfD, has gained half a point each, reaching 35.5% and 12% respectively.
Meanwhile, other parties together have slightly increased their combined polling percentage to 6.5%. However, a potential black-green coalition, consisting of the Greens and the Left party, continues to hold a combined polling percentage of 50%.
Interestingly, both the Left and Greens have each lost half a point, with the Left now at 7.5% and the Greens at 17.5%. The Free Democrats (FDP) have also seen a slight decrease, dropping one point to 6.5%.
It's worth noting that every tenth eligible voter continues to indicate they will not participate in the federal election. Despite this, 55% of those who prefer a party are very certain of their voting intention.
The current head of the INSA polling institute, Hermann Binkert, has stated that based on current trends, the Union is likely to provide the next Chancellor. However, no new information about the likelihood of a specific coalition or the certainty of voting intention has been provided in this poll.
As the election approaches, these trends will undoubtedly continue to shape the political discourse in Germany. Stay tuned for more updates as we move closer to the vote.
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