Revised projection for Romania's economy's growth dampened following explanations by the statistics office regarding Q2 GDP data.

In a recent report by Erste Bank's analysts, the current growth forecast for Romania's GDP in 2025 stands at 1.3%. However, the adjusted series of the Romanian economy's growth in the first half of 2025 is slightly higher at 1.4%.

The report also warns of a potential downward revision to Romania's growth forecast for 2025. The discrepancies between the unadjusted and adjusted series complicate the assessment of the magnitude of the downward revision at this time. The adjusted series for the whole year of 2025 is not provided in the report.

Looking ahead, a potential timid recovery for Romania's economy is forecasted for 2026 with a growth of 2.1%. This growth rate is higher than Erste Bank's current forecast for Romania's economic growth in 2025.

Meanwhile, Poland is emerging as the best-performing economy in the region with an advance of over 3% in 2025. Poland and Croatia are maintaining a robust growth rate, with Poland's economic growth in 2025 expected to be over 3%. Romania remains behind Poland in terms of economic growth in 2025.

The report, consulted by Cursdeguvernare.ro, also discusses political improvements and economic outlooks for other countries in the region, including growth projections for Romania. The authors of the report predicting the revision of Romania's growth forecast for 2025 are Raiffeisen Research analysts, as indicated in the Raiffeisen Börsebericht published on July 30, 2025.

Hungary will stagnate in 2025 but has prospects of recovery in 2026. The Czech Republic and Slovenia are showing signs of stabilization. The broken down data on the evolution of the Romanian economy shows huge discrepancies.

Erste Bank did not provide a forecast for Poland's economic growth in 2026. However, the bank's forecast for Romania's economic growth in 2026 remains at 2.1%. The unadjusted series of Romania's economic growth for the whole of 2025 is not provided in the report.