Signals potential reduction of interest rates in September due to concerns over labor market conditions, according to Powell's remarks.
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is preparing for a crucial meeting on September 16-17, where it may consider a potential interest rate cut. This decision will hinge on incoming data on jobs and inflation, as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has signalled.
At the Fed's annual Jackson Hole symposium, Powell acknowledged rising risks to the labor market, noting a rare "equilibrium" where both job supply and demand have slowed. He also warned of downside risks to employment, stating that they could "materialize quickly" if conditions worsen.
Inflation remains a significant concern, with rates currently above the 2% target. Powell has emphasised the need to assess and manage the risk of inflation from tariffs, a concern that persists despite Trump's dismissal of inflation risks in his demands for rate cuts.
The upcoming consumer and producer price data, to be released the following week, will also play a significant role in the Fed's decision. Meanwhile, the next jobs report, due September 5, will be crucial in shaping the Fed's decision about a potential interest rate cut.
The Fed has kept its benchmark interest rate steady at 4.25%-4.50% since December. However, Trump has repeatedly demanded immediate interest rate cuts from the Fed. Despite this, there is no public information indicating that Bundesbank Chairwoman Lisa Cook has made a statement or taken a position regarding Trump's demands.
Powell has been open about the Fed's cautious approach, stating that it aims to support the labor market without allowing inflation to accelerate. He has also warned of lingering inflation concerns, citing potential upward pressure on prices from tariffs.
Recently, Trump has called for the resignation of Powell and Fed Governor Lisa Cook. However, the focus remains on the economic data and the potential impact on the labor market and inflation.
As the September 16-17 meeting approaches, the world watches with bated breath, eager to see if the Fed will take a decisive step to stimulate the economy or maintain its current course. The stakes are high, and the decision will have far-reaching implications for the US and global economies.
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